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Potential growth in fugitive dust emissions associated with synfuel development

Conference · · Proc., Annu. Meet., Air Pollut. Control Assoc.; (United States)
OSTI ID:7099256
The production of petroleum crude from oil shale and tar sands will increase the population in regions affected by the growth of the synthetic fuels industry. This population increase will result in the greater use of motor vehicles, which in turn will increase fugitive dust and other pollutant emissions from motor vehicles. The changes in roadway fugitive dust emissions resulting from synfuel development in the Uinta Basin of eastern Utah is estimated. The study region encompassed a large area in two counties--Uintah and Grand. This region is primarily rural with a scattering of major (paved) thoroughfares. However, most of the existing roads in the area are unpaved. With a substantial increase in population, the potential exists for large increases in roadway fugitive dust associated with vehicular travel. The analysis presented here was adapted from a study prepared by Systems Applications, Inc. in 1982 for the Bureau of Land Management (BLM). The BLM study supported an Environmental Impact Statement that assessed the direct and indirect effects of oil shale and tar sands development in the Uinta Basin. Both regional and site-specific impacts on air quality were assessed, with emphasis on the effects of secondary growth associated with synfuel development. The derivation of gridded fugitive dust emission estimates for paved and unpaved roads is presented for a base year. Because future development in the synthetic fuels industry is difficult to predict, two scenarios of oil production in 1990 are postulated: one with a high level of production and one with a low level. After the emission results are presented, a statistical treatment of the uncertainty in the estimates of future roadway emissions is discussed and uncertainty levels are calculated.
Research Organization:
Systems Applications, Inc. San Rafael, California
OSTI ID:
7099256
Report Number(s):
CONF-830617-
Conference Information:
Journal Name: Proc., Annu. Meet., Air Pollut. Control Assoc.; (United States) Journal Volume: 83-21.6
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English