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U.S. Department of Energy
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Solar Heating and Cooling of Buildings (SHACOB) Commercialization Report. Part B. Analysis of market development. Volume II. Technical report, September 1977

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/7067199· OSTI ID:7067199

The SHACOB Commercialization Model is designed to gauge the impacts of selected federal incentive programs to encourage the development of solar energy equipment for hot water heating, space heating, and space cooling in residential and commercial buildings. The model is designed to run with 10 different categories of market/building types; for the 10 FEA regions, and for the 14-year period of 1977 to 1990. At the heart of the model is the cell penetration module, within which the market penetrations for solar energy devices are calculated for each particular year, market and building type and region. The origin of the major economic and technical data base elements used in the model are discussed, and trends of these elements are projected over the time frame of this study. The status of the solar industry is reviewed briefly. The results of the SHACOB Model analysis are discussed in the following areas: a comparison of the four major incentive scenarios, the sensitivity of the SHACOB Model to key data assumptions, the impact of single incentives (versus incentive packages), a comparative view of the National Energy Plan (NEP) projections versus the COMP/NEP approach, and finally, a brief investigation of possible phased incentive programs designed to avoid the disruptive effects resulting from the sudden termination of major incentives. (MHR)

Research Organization:
Little (Arthur D.), Inc., Cambridge, MA (USA)
OSTI ID:
7067199
Report Number(s):
HCP/M70066-01/2
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English