Lower confidence bounds on system reliability using component data: Maximus methodology
Conference
·
OSTI ID:7058465
A method of calculating approximate lower confidence bounds on system reliability, based upon binomial component data, is presented. The method is based on a system reduction algorithm by which the component data are reduced to effective binomial system data. The reduction rules treat series-parallel arrangements of components and also the use of the same data to estimate failure probabilities for different components. The confidence limits obtained are conservative for confidence levels of interest. We also discuss extensions to failure-rate estimation. This method was developed by an Ad Hoc Methodology Working Group on Nuclear Weapons Reliability Assessment, which was established by the Departments of Defense and Energy.
- Research Organization:
- Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (USA)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC04-76DP00789
- OSTI ID:
- 7058465
- Report Number(s):
- SAND-84-1199C; CONF-8406135-1; ON: DE84012813
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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