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Regression based process energy analysis system

Conference · · ASHRAE Trans.; (United States)
OSTI ID:6999975

The results of an investigation are presented to determine which weather, production, and time-related parameters exert significant influence on installation energy consumption for the U.S. Army Armament, Munitions and Chemical Command (AMCCOM) using regression analysis methods. Based on data gathered at AMCCOM HQ, potentially significant weather and production/mission parameters are identified, and Process Energy Analysis Systems are developed for each installation using regression analysis methods on a monthly data base for the period FY75 through FY82 (October 1974 through September 1982). The regression model for AMCCOM shows that aggregate energy consumption in general depends on heating degree-days, production level, and labor force strength. At individual installations, additional important parameters include cooling degree-days and facility changes over time. The model was applied to actual FY84 data and predicted total energy consumption to within 3% to 6% of actual consumption. Results of this effort will be used to forecast energy consumption and establish energy guidelines throughout AMCCOM.

Research Organization:
GARD, Niles, IL
OSTI ID:
6999975
Report Number(s):
CONF-860106-
Journal Information:
ASHRAE Trans.; (United States), Journal Name: ASHRAE Trans.; (United States) Vol. 92:1A; ISSN ASHTA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English