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US agricultural policy and gasohol: a policy simulation

Journal Article · · Am. J. Agric. Econ.; (United States)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2307/1240195· OSTI ID:6972915
A stochastic simulation model is used to evaluate the implications of alternative gasohol programs for a large segment of the food and agricultural sector - corn and soybean producers, consumers, and taxpayers. The impacts on corn and soybean prices, production, acreage planted, carryover stocks, exports, and commodity-program expenditures are presented. The research findings indicate that alcohol production levels below 2.0 billion gallons do not result in serious dislocations in the agricultural sector. As the level of alcohol production increases and more grain is required, corn prices rise significantly, stocks fall to extremely low levels, exports decline, and government expenditures increase greatly. The inclusion of energy from agriculture as a policy objective will require a rethinking of priorities and the implication of alternative courses of action. 3 references, 8 figures, 2 tables.
Research Organization:
Purdue Univ., Lafayette, IN
OSTI ID:
6972915
Journal Information:
Am. J. Agric. Econ.; (United States), Journal Name: Am. J. Agric. Econ.; (United States) Vol. 62:3; ISSN AJAEB
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English