Capacity expansion in electric generation with reference to the developing countries

Conference · Sun Jan 01 04:00:00 EST 1978

OSTI ID:6799516

Allentuck, J

In less-developed countries (LDCs) the appropriate level of electric supply depends in a complex way on the state of development already achieved, specifics of the overall development plan, and availability and cost of alternative energy supplies. The same factors that determine the level of electric supply are also important in determining the optimal technology and degree of integration of power-generating equipment. In addition to these factors, selection of the appropriate supply technology depends on the quantity of electricity demanded, the cost of capital equipment and fuels, and the accounting rate of interest. This examination restricts electricity-capacity-expansion planning process to those cases in LDCs where integrated electricity supply is appropriate. In the context of emergence from underdevelopment, it is argued that electricity-capacity-expansion planning must be integrated with an economic development plan. Uncertainties other than those in electric demand are availability of capital, interest rate, rate of inflation, availability and cost of fuels, and reliability of equipment. The system planner must consider innovative production technologies that may reach the stage of practical application during the planning period. The capacity-expansion decision process is examined in the context of a conventional capacity-expansion model underscoring significant sources of uncertainty and their possible impacts along with those resulting from exercise of judgments in economic areas peculiar to underdevelopment. The role of electricity in the development plan as well as the choices open, once sectoral goals have been set, as to whether to use electricity or other energy forms.

• Research Organization: Brookhaven National Lab., Upton, N.Y. (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: EY-76-C-02-0016
• OSTI ID: 6799516
• Report Number(s): BNL-24260; CONF-780464-1
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290200 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Economics & Sociology
296000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Electric Power
530100 -- Environmental-Social Aspects of Energy Technologies-- Social & Economic Studies-- (-1989)
CAPACITY
DECISION MAKING
DEMAND FACTORS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY STORAGE
ENERGY SUPPLIES
ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS
FUELS
MANPOWER
OPTIMIZATION
OWNERSHIP
POWER
POWER GENERATION
RELIABILITY
RURAL AREAS
SOCIAL IMPACT
STORAGE
TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT
URBAN AREAS