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Title: Conditional rate structures: a unique statistical approach to energy use assessment and confidence intervals

Conference ·
OSTI ID:6702710

A unique statistical approach to the problem of estimating residential energy use is presented. Such estimates have historically been based on ad hoc methods without a solid theoretical infrastructure, and as a consequence, the results have been difficult to quantitatively evaluate. As a first step in rectifying these shortcomings, a constructive proof is given of a consistent estimator and confidence levels for the estimate are derived. In particular, it is shown that the appropriate rate structure to use to impute actual energy use from expenditure figures is the average rate structures weighted by the conditional probabilities at each expenditure level. Associated with the Cartesian product space of rate structures by expenditure levels is a path space which leads to the appropriate formulation of confidence levels.

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-26
OSTI ID:
6702710
Report Number(s):
CONF-780802-4
Resource Relation:
Conference: American Statistical Association meeting, San Diego, CA, USA, 14 Aug 1978; Other Information: Portions of document are illegible
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English