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U.S. Department of Energy
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Tornado missile risk analysis. Appendixes: anaytical models and data bases. Final report

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6693389· OSTI ID:6693389

Mathematical models of the contributing events to the tornado missile hazard at nuclear power plants have been developed in which the major sources of uncertainty have been considered in a probablistic framework. These models have been structured into a sequential event formalism which permits the treatment of both single and multiple missile generation events. A simulation computer code utilizing these models has been developed to obtain estimates of tornado missile event likelihoods. Two case studies have been analyzed: a single unit plant using the current NRC set of missiles and a two unit arrangement using an expanded missile set. Preliminary results suggest that the likelihood of missile strike and that of subsequent plant damage may be acceptably small.

Research Organization:
Carolina Power and Light Co., Raleigh, NC (USA)
OSTI ID:
6693389
Report Number(s):
EPRI-NP-769(App.)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English