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U.S. Department of Energy
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Social welfare and optimal depletion: an application to natural gas deregulation

Thesis/Dissertation ·
OSTI ID:6649671
The optimal depletion of exhaustible resources is usually addressed in the literature as a problem of resource allocation over time. In this thesis, the effects of particular intertemporal consumption paths on the welfare of different households within each period of time are examined. The thesis addresses the issue at two levels. First, at the theoretical level, the standard optimal depletion model is extended to include more than one consumer. It is shown that the often cited equivalence between a socially optimal depletion path and a path generated by unrestricted competition only holds for a particular set of objective functionals. Second, the effects of natural gas deregulation policies in the distribtion of income over time are explored using a simulation model. Experiments were conducted to study the effects of replacing the Natural Gas Policy Act with complete deregulation in 1983 over the period 1980-94. The results indicate that to complete price deregulation would lead to price increases that would adversely affect low income groups in the short run. In the long run, however, gains in economic efficiency lead to improved welfare for all groups and an improvement in the relative welfare of low income groups. In both the central cases and sensitivity experiments, however, the effects on the distribution of income across income groups was found to be relatively small.
OSTI ID:
6649671
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English