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U.S. Department of Energy
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Investment risk evaluation techniques: use in energy-intensive industries and implications for ERDA's Industrial Conservation Program

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/6585202· OSTI ID:6585202
The trade-off between risk and rate-of-return in investment evaluations is crucial in assessing the commercial potential of future energy-conservation technologies. The focus of the Industrial Conservation Program at ERDA is to reduce the perceived risks of a given technology to the extent that the private sector will adopt the technology within the normal course of its business operations. These perceived risks may emanate from technical, institutional, or commercial uncertainties, or in many cases they may result merely from a company's or industry's lack of previous experience with a particular technology. Regardless of the source of the risk surrounding a project, the uncertainty it poses to the private sector will serve to inhibit decisions to invest. This study evaluates the treatment of risk in capital investments in certain energy-intensive industries which are the primary targets of ERDA's Industrial Conservation Program. These risks evaluation considerations were placed within a context that includes capital budgeting practices and procedures, organizational considerations, and basic rate-of-return evaluation procedures in the targeted energy-intensive industries (petroleum, chemicals, paper, textiles, cement, food processing, aluminum, steel, glass, and agriculture).
Research Organization:
Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc., Arlington, VA (USA)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
OSTI ID:
6585202
Report Number(s):
SAN-1225-T010-1
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English