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U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

US energy for the rest of the century. 1982

Book ·
OSTI ID:6540007
The Commerce Department's latest report predicts that US energy consumption will rise from 74.4 quadrillion Btu in 1981 to 89.6 quads by 2000, which is 7% lower than the 96.7 quads projected in last year's report and 23% below the 1976 forecast's figure of 116 quads. The decline is due entirely to the lower electricity demand expected in 2000 and is tied in with a dramatic drop in estimated future nuclear plant capacity. Gas consumption will drop 18% to 17.8 trillion CF in 2000 - 12.8 TCF of it produced domestically, 4.0 TCF imported, and 1.0 TCF derived from coal. The report also analyzes current energy consumption by end use; residential consumption represents $83.0 billion of the total $419.2 billion/yr (including direct taxes) spent by energy end users, while the commercial sector accounts for $59.1 billion, industrial $97.7 billion, and transportation $179.4 billion. The report suggests that liquid fuel usage for transportation will suffer the greatest supply strain, eventually requiring a doubling of current automobile mileage standards and the conversion of 10% of US vehicles to alternative fuels.
OSTI ID:
6540007
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English