World nuclear fuel cycle requirements, 1984

Technical Report · Thu Nov 01 04:00:00 EST 1984

OSTI ID:6410600

Steinberg, H

This report presents projections of the domestic and foreign requirements for uranium and enrichment services, as well as spent nuclear fuel discharges. These fuel cycle requirements are based on the forecasts of future commercial nuclear power capacity published in a recent Energy Information Administration (EIA) report. Four scenarios (high, middle, low, and no new reactor orders) are included for domestic nuclear power capacity and three (high, middle, and low) for countries in the World Outside Planned Economies (WOCA). In addition, 4 sensitivity cases are presented for the US lower capacity factors, reactor aging, lower tails assay, and higher burnup. Six sensitivity cases are analyzed for the WOCA countries: (1) stable, instead of improving, capacity factors for the United States and for countries in the Other country group; (2) reactor aging; (3) recycling of uranium but not plutonium from spent fuel (the three standard scenarios assume recycling of both uranium and plutonium; (4) no recycling of spent fuels; (5) lower uranium enrichment tails assay; and (6) higher fuel burnup levels. The annual US requirements for uranium and for uranium enrichment service are projected to more than double between 1985 and 2020 in the middle case, and the cumulative amount of spent fuel discharged is projected to increase approximately 10-fold. Annual uranium requirements for the WOCA nations are projected to increase by about 60% between 1985 and 2000. In contrast, a 7- to 8-fold increase in U/sub 3/O/sub 8/ and enrichment service requirements is projected for the Other WOCA country group during this time period, as its relatively small existing nuclear power capacity undergoes rapid expansion.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels
• OSTI ID: 6410600
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0436(84); ON: DE85002875
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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ACTINIDE COMPOUNDS
ACTINIDES
CAPACITY
CHALCOGENIDES
DATA
ELEMENTS
ENERGY SOURCES
FORECASTING
FUEL CYCLE
FUELS
GLOBAL ASPECTS
INFORMATION
ISOTOPE SEPARATION
MATERIALS
METALS
NUCLEAR FACILITIES
NUCLEAR FUELS
NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS
NUMERICAL DATA
OXIDES
OXYGEN COMPOUNDS
POWER PLANTS
REACTOR MATERIALS
REPROCESSING
SEPARATION PROCESSES
SPENT FUELS
THEORETICAL DATA
THERMAL POWER PLANTS
URANIUM
URANIUM COMPOUNDS
URANIUM OXIDES
URANIUM OXIDES U3O8