Modeling the wind-fields of accidental releases by mesoscale forecasting
Conference
·
OSTI ID:632783
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
- Navel Research Lab, Monterey, CA (United States)
Modeling atmospheric releases even during fair weather can present a sever challenge to diagnostic, observed-data-driven, models. Such schemes are often handicapped by sparse input data from meteorological surface stations and soundings. Forecasting by persistence is only acceptable for a few hours and cannot predict important changes in the diurnal cycle or from synoptic evolution. Many accident scenarios are data-sparse in space and/or time. Here we describe the potential value of limited-area, mesoscale, forecast models for real-time emergency response. Simulated wind-fields will be passed to ARAC`s operational models to produce improved forecasts of dispersion following accidents.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-48
- OSTI ID:
- 632783
- Report Number(s):
- UCRL-JC--125164; CONF-970419--; ON: DE98051081
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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