Projecting population to 1980. [Application of Labor Market Projections Model]

Technical Report · Thu Feb 01 04:00:00 EST 1979

OSTI ID:6296149

Schroeder, E

Over the past few years, the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory and the U.S. Department of Labor - Employment and Training Administration have developed a projections procedure, the Labor Market Projections Model, (LMPM), to aid local planners. The LMPM was designed to project population, labor force, and unemployment at the local level. Both the labor force and unemployment projections rely heavily on the results of the population projections. This past year considerable effort has been put into modifying and improving the population projections. The projections are now calculated for three races (white, black, and other), instead of just two (white and nonwhite). Submodels to take into account the special populations - the college students and the military - were included. Net migration totals for 1970--1975 from the Revenue Sharing tapes were used to improve the net migration rates for 1960--1970 previously used. Lastly, as the projections are now being done from 1970 to 1980, the model does this in two steps - projecting first to 1975 and then to 1980. With these changes, the population projections model has been strengthened considerably. As a result, the labor force and unemployment projections are similarly improved.

• Research Organization: California Univ., Berkeley (USA). Lawrence Berkeley Lab.
• DOE Contract Number: W-7405-ENG-48
• OSTI ID: 6296149
• Report Number(s): LBL-8782
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

550100* -- Behavioral Biology
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
DATA
DATA FORMS
EMPLOYMENT
FORECASTING
HUMAN POPULATIONS
INFORMATION
ISOLATED VALUES
MANPOWER
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MILITARY PERSONNEL
MINORITY GROUPS
NORTH AMERICA
NUMERICAL DATA
PERSONNEL
POPULATION DENSITY
POPULATION DYNAMICS
POPULATIONS
THEORETICAL DATA
USA