Interaction of strategic defenses with crisis stability
Technical Report
·
OSTI ID:6253027
Stability indices produce a picture of the transition from offensive to defensive deterrence. Now, fixed intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) act as a sink; submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) carry the brunt of retaliation; and aircraft add little. START would shift toward aircraft. Moderate defenses could suppress SLBMs, but would not protect a significant number of ICBMs. Retaliation would shift to aircraft, if protected and penetrating. Combined boost- and midcourse defenses increase stability. Reductions of heavy ICBMs or launch on warning would have little impact. Unilateral defenses change crisis indices little, but reduce delivery. 19 refs., 36 figs.
- Research Organization:
- Los Alamos National Lab., NM (USA)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- DOE/AD; DOE/DP
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-36
- OSTI ID:
- 6253027
- Report Number(s):
- LA-11919-MS; ON: DE91009002
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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