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Market study of international needs for new electric generating capacity

Conference ·
OSTI ID:6202066
A market study of international needs for new electric generating capacity by using simple extrapolation of population and energy consumption to the year 2000 finds that a worldwide requirement for new generating capacity of 1000 to 1300 GWe is needed. Data used are consistent with World Bank projections of dramatically greater rates of increase in both population and energy consumption in the lesser developed countries (LDCs) by comparison with the developed countries. As such, 400 to 450 GWe of the increase is attributable to those LDCs that can support annual capacity additions of 100 to 1000 MWe. Because subjective factors such as public acceptance and time-dependent political ties determine the fraction of capacity attributable to nuclear power, this market is impossible to predict. However, it is unlikely that the complete demand for new generating stations can be met with fossil energy alone, which implies either a market share for nuclear or a shortfall in capacity that would increase the disparity between the LDCs and developed countries.
Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Lab., NM (USA)
DOE Contract Number:
W-7405-ENG-36
OSTI ID:
6202066
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-84-1948; CONF-841105-1; ON: DE84014042
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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