Outlook for US coal imports. [USA; 1985 to 1995]

Technical Report · Wed Mar 19 04:00:00 EST 1986

OSTI ID:6087364

The analysis indicates that both Colombian coal and Canadian coal have the potential to continue to flow into the US domestic market. However, the magnitude of this flow is projected to be small, 4.8 million tons (less than 0.5% of US coal production and less than 4.7% of US coal exports) in 1995, and the projected markets for these imports are quite confined - Colombian coal to Florida and Puerto Rico, and Canadian coal to the west coast. Colombian coal shipments to Florida imply a potential displacement of 2.5 million tons of Kentucky coal supplies, which otherwise would be the most likely domestic source. Colombian coal exports to Puerto Rico imply a displacement of West Virginia coal, which is projected to be the least expensive domestic supply source to Puerto Rico. Coal primarily from Utah and secondarily from Wyoming is projected to be the domestic supply that could be displaced by Canadian coal imports of 1.8 million tons on the west coast. The displaced coal production in these states, however, would represent a small share of the projected increase in coal production between 1985 and 1995. The analysis also indicates that the greatest impact of Colombian coal imports on the US coal supply is expected when world coal demand is weak and absorbs less Colombian coal. 27 tabs.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels
• OSTI ID: 6087364
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0483; ON: DE86008814
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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