Error estimates of background atmospheric CO sub 2 patterns from weekly flask samples

Journal Article · Mon Aug 20 04:00:00 EDT 1990 · Journal of Geophysical Research; (USA)

OSTI ID:6061277

Tans, P P; Thoning, K W ^[1]; Elliott, W P ^[2]; Conway, T J ^[3]

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1. Univ. of Colorado, Boulder (USA)
2. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Springs, MD (USA)
3. Geophysical Monitoring for Climatic Change, Boulder, CO (USA)

The precision and accuracy of trends and seasonal cycles of CO{sub 2}, as determined from grab samples, was investigated. First, the statistical aspects of infrequent (weekly) sampling were studied by simulating, via a partially random procedure, parallel time series of CO{sub 2} flask samples. These simulated flask series were compared to the continuous analyzer records from which they had been derived. The second approach to studying the uncertainties of flask records was to compare real flask results with simultaneous hourly mean concentrations of the in situ analyzers at the Geophysical Monitoring for climatic Change observatories at Point Barrow, Mauna Loa, Samoa, and the south pole. The latter comparisons emphasized experimental, rather than statistical, errors. The uncertainties and sampling biases depend on the site and on the period of averaging. For monthly means the uncertainty varies from 0.2 to 0.6 ppm (one standard deviation, parts per million by volume), being largest for Barrow. Sampling biases for monthly means at Barrow and Mauna Loa are significant, up to 0.5 ppm. Experimental errors are the dominant error source for annual averages, and spurious interannual variations can be up to 0.4 ppm.

• OSTI ID: 6061277
• Journal Information: Journal of Geophysical Research; (USA), Journal Name: Journal of Geophysical Research; (USA) Vol. 95:D9; ISSN 0148-0227; ISSN JGREA
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

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