Demand for world coal through 1995. Analysis report. [Forecasting to 1985, 1990, and 1995; global aspects]

Technical Report · Tue May 01 04:00:00 EDT 1979

OSTI ID:6018494

Weigel, H S

The analysis is based on the results of several energy models of the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Results from the International Energy Evaluation System (IEES) constituted the most significant contribution. The U.S. forecasts were obtained from the Midterm Energy Market Model (MEMM) reports. The modeling framework within which the analysis was made is that used for the projections made for the 1978 EIA Annual Report to Congress (ARC). The assumed world oil price levels were estimated by EIA in a related study using the Oil Market Simulation (OMS) model. The principal results are as follows: The non-CPE World coal (including lignite) consumption is projected to steadily increase from 1400 million metric tons in 1976 to 2700 to 3200 in 1995. Steam coal trade is expected to increase significantly. An increasng proportion of coal fired electricity generation is also expected. The results depend on economic growth assumptions, world oil price assumptions, and calculated fuel switching, as well as an assumed increase in nuclear power. (LTN)

• Research Organization: Department of Energy, Washington, DC (USA). Energy Information Administration
• OSTI ID: 6018494
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-0184/8
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT
015000* -- Coal
Lignite
& Peat-- Economic
Industrial
& Business Aspects
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
294001 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Coal
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
CHARGES
COAL
COMMON MARKET
CONSUMPTION RATES
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMICS
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
FORECASTING
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
GLOBAL ASPECTS
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
PETROLEUM
POWER GENERATION
PUBLIC UTILITIES
TRADE