Regional Demand Forecasting Model: 1977 and 1978 versions. Task 3, final documentation report

Technical Report · Mon Sep 25 04:00:00 EDT 1978

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/5860518· OSTI ID:5860518

Parhizgari, A M

This report documents the demand forecasting model, RDFOR. Chapter I presents an overview of the structure of RDFOR as well as its linkages with other models within the PIES model. An important link between RDFOR and PIES is the Demand Interface System (DFACE) which prepares the output of RDFOR for input into PIES. Chapter II provides an in-depth analysis of the data bases used in the estimation and simulation of RDFOR. It presents an analysis of trends in energy data by fuel and by sector for both the United States as a whole and for each of the 10 DOE Regions. Chapter III provides a detailed analysis of the theoretical structure of RDFOR, analyzes a transportation sector model and a minor fuels sector model which differ in structure from the other sectors within RDFOR, and examines the econometric implementation of RDFOR. Chapter IV describes the simulation of RDFOR and its resultant forecasts. Emphasis is placed on the various restrictions and transformations performed prior to and during the simulation. A description of scenario implementation is also included. An analysis of the changes made in the simulation equations from the specification of the estimation equations is an important part of this chapter.

• Research Organization: Synergy, Inc., Washington, DC (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5860518
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA/8560-1
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290100* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Analysis & Modeling
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
DOCUMENT TYPES
ECONOMETRICS
ECONOMICS
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY MODELS
FORECASTING
IMPLEMENTATION
MANUALS
NORTH AMERICA
PIES
REGIONAL ANALYSIS
USA