Examination of sharing fractions for prices and quantities

Technical Report · Sat Feb 01 04:00:00 EST 1986

OSTI ID:5763399

Meyer, M

When the Household Model of Energy (HOME) and Commercial Sector Energy Model (CSEM) are run as modules in the Intermediate Future Forecasting System (IFFS), the interfacing variables (prices and consumption of fuels) have to be adjusted to their aggregated regional levels. Both HOME and CSEM operate at a level of 4 Census Regions whereas IFFS uses 10 federal Regions. This makes it necessary to aggregate the prices provided by IFFS to the 4 Census Regions and to disaggregate the sectoral consumption values calculated by HOME and CSEM to the 10 federal Regions. An examination of the historical fractions for consumption levels and prices by fuels and sectors (residential and commercial) was performed to substantiate the assumption that changes of these fractions over time are not significant. This assumption is presently employed in both HOME and CSEM. The fractions which are presently used were calculated for each fuel based on the consumption data for the year 1980. These fractions, once evaluated, are used for sharing both prices and consumption throughout the forecasting period.

• Research Organization: Brookhaven National Lab., Upton, NY (USA)
• DOE Contract Number: AC02-76CH00016
• OSTI ID: 5763399
• Report Number(s): BNL-37939; ON: DE86009915
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
290100* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Energy Analysis & Modeling
298000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Consumption & Utilization
CALCULATION METHODS
COMMERCIAL SECTOR
CONSUMPTION RATES
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY MODELS
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FORECASTING
FUEL SUBSTITUTION
FUEL SUPPLIES
FUELS
NORTH AMERICA
PRICES
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
USA