A probabilistic method for the evaluation of the performance and the reliability of wind-diesel energy systems

Journal Article · Tue Jun 01 04:00:00 EDT 1993 · IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States)

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1109/60.222705· OSTI ID:5690602

Gavanidou, E S; Bakirtzis, A G; Dokopoulos, P S ^[1]

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1. Aristotelian Univ., Thessaloniki (Greece)

This paper describes a probabilistic method for predicting the performance and the reliability of autonomous wind-diesel energy systems based on statistical data of the system load and the wind speed. Expected annual wind and diesel energy production as well as fuel consumption and cost are calculated. The system loss of load probability (LOLP) and expected unserved energy (EUE) are also computed. In order to retain acceptable service reliability, the operation of the wind-diesel system is constrained by the requirement that the wind generation must not exceed a certain percentage of the system load. This requirement introduces interdependent between the wind generation and the system load which is taken into account in the statistical computations. The performance of the developed method is demonstrated with computational results.

• OSTI ID: 5690602
• Journal Information: IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States), Journal Name: IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States) Vol. 8:2; ISSN 0885-8969; ISSN ITCNE4
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

17 WIND ENERGY
170600* -- Wind Energy Engineering
DIESEL ENGINES
ELECTRIC GENERATORS
ENGINES
EQUIPMENT
HEAT ENGINES
INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES
MACHINERY
PERFORMANCE
PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION
RELIABILITY
TURBINES
TURBOGENERATORS
TURBOMACHINERY
WIND TURBINES