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Second half economic gains to lift oil prices

Journal Article · · Oil and Gas Journal; (United States)
OSTI ID:5676405
This paper reports on an economic recession that reduced demand through midyear in the important North American products market. Iraq and Kuwait are still unable to export crude oil, however, and other members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have avoided producing more oil than the market needs. As a result, crude prices have stabilized. A second half economic recovery would raise demand and prices if production capacity doesn't rise. Timing of the resumption of significant Iraqi and Kuwaiti exports remains the crucial variable. Crude oil and natural gas prices are still too low to stimulate U.S. exploration and production activity. Worldwide activity is down slightly from levels of a year ago, but there are signs of improvement. In the U.S. and elsewhere, demand for crude oil and petroleum products is expected to rebound during the second half. Crude oil production capacity of members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries has been reduced to 23-24 million b/d. Fourth quarter demand for OPEC oil is expected to climb to the top of that range, which should lift prices.
OSTI ID:
5676405
Journal Information:
Oil and Gas Journal; (United States), Journal Name: Oil and Gas Journal; (United States) Vol. 89:30; ISSN OIGJA; ISSN 0030-1388
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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