Recommended methods for analysis of competition among new and existing technologies for the electrical generation market. Integrated assessments and policy evaluations
A comprehensive model of regional market competition among new and existing technologies for generating electricity is needed as a basis for programmatic recommendations on allocation of research, development, and demonstration (RD and D) funds among candidate technologies. An important adjunct to such a model would be a decision model that could provide quantitative measures of the relative social value of such technologies on nonmonetary criteria, such as health and environmental effects and sociopolitical and socioeconomic outcomes. These additional criteria could be quantified by the use of multi-attribute utility theory. The authors outline the requirements for a new, sophisticated model (MAP, the market analysis program) that would meet the objectives desired for the comprehensive model in permitting analysis of multi-utility regions such as reliability council areas. They recommend that either the MAP be developed or that the SLICK model of MITRE Corporation be modified extensively along the lines they discuss (which would yield a model less powerful than the proposed MAP, but still superior to any now existing); and that further exploration be carried out on development of a social-value model, to be used as a complement to either the MAP or the modified MITRE technique, as a potential source of additional levels of information for recommendation of RD and D allocations.
- Research Organization:
- Argonne National Lab., IL (USA)
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-31-109-ENG-38
- OSTI ID:
- 5578995
- Report Number(s):
- ANL/EES-TM-37; ON: DE85014319
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: Portions of this document are illegible in microfiche products
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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