Residential end-use energy consumption: A survey of conditional demand estimates

Technical Report · Sun Oct 01 04:00:00 EDT 1989

OSTI ID:5578761

Sebold, F D; Parris, K M ^[1]

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1. Regional Economic Research, Inc., San Diego, CA (USA)

This report presents the results of a survey and analysis of recent estimates of residential end-use unit energy consumption (UEC) levels obtained through a statistical analysis procedure known as conditional demand analysis. Methodological issues are discussed, and UEC estimates reported for a wide range of utility service areas, along with estimates, in some cases, of price and income elasticities. Many utilities now use an end-use approach for forecasting residential energy sales, and as part of their DSM/market planning activities. However, few have access to end-use metered data to be used in the development of these forecasts and analyses. Conditional demand analysis provides a statistical means of estimating UECs from available billing record data on monthly energy consumption, and customer information derived from appliance saturation surveys. This approach is beginning to see relatively wide use at electric utilities, as evidenced by the large number of studies included in this survey. A general review of conditional demand methodology is presented to explain the logic of the approach and to introduce the means of integrating technical and behavioral factors into the model specification. Then, individual end uses are considered. For each end use, alternative specifications are presented, UEC estimates are summarized, and the transferability of estimates across service areas is assessed. In reporting weather-sensitive UECs, an attempt is made to standardize for the weather-related variation in estimates across service areas. 39 refs., 19 figs., 21 tabs.

• Research Organization: Electric Power Research Inst., Palo Alto, CA (USA); Cambridge Systematics, Inc., Berkeley, CA (USA); Regional Economic Research, Inc., San Diego, CA (USA)
• Sponsoring Organization: EPRI
• OSTI ID: 5578761
• Report Number(s): EPRI-CU-6487
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
292000 -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Supply
Demand & Forecasting
298000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Consumption & Utilization
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
320603 -- Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization-- Municipalities & Community Systems-- Public Utilities-- (1980-)
AIR CONDITIONERS
APPLIANCES
BUILDINGS
CLOTHES DRYERS
DEMAND
DISHWASHERS
DISTRIBUTION
DOCUMENT TYPES
DRYERS
ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY
ENERGY CONSERVATION
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
ENERGY DEMAND
FORECASTING
HEAT PUMPS
HEATERS
HEATING
HOUSES
INDUSTRY
MARKETING
MICROWAVE OVENS
OVENS
PLANNING
PROGRESS REPORT
REFRIGERATORS
RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
SPACE HEATERS
STOVES
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
TELEVISION
WATER HEATING