Oil and its influence on strategic planning. Master's thesis

Technical Report · Wed Jun 01 04:00:00 EDT 1983

OSTI ID:5516417

Pierce, T C

This paper analyzes the continuing threat of a serious oil supply disruption and readiness of the U.S. to cope with such a development. Chapter One examines current perceptions of the likelihood of another oil crisis. It argues that these perceptions are critically flawed by an inadequate conceptual understanding of the nature of vulnerability. Chapter Two traces the U.S. response to the 1973-74 and 1978-79 oil crises and surveys the prospects for a future oil crisis. Chapter Three evaluates the present oil glut in relation to the U.S. long-term programs to reduce oil vulnerability. It examines the effect that a new complacement attitude arising from the appearance of surplus may have on efforts to promote policies to avert a future crisis. Chapter Four examines the different contingencies that the U.S. could possibly face as a result of oil dependence. Chapter Five examines U.S. national goals and the linkage between goals and policy. Chapter Six proposes a strategy of attainment to reduce U.S. vulnerability to future oil disruptions. Such a strategy would address both the short and long-term problems that face American strategic planners concerned with the oil issue.

• Research Organization: Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5516417
• Report Number(s): AD-A-132022/5
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
293000* -- Energy Planning & Policy-- Policy
Legislation
& Regulation
BITUMINOUS MATERIALS
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
EMERGENCY PLANS
ENERGY MANAGEMENT
ENERGY POLICY
ENERGY SOURCES
ENERGY SUPPLIES
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL SUPPLIES
FUELS
GOVERNMENT POLICIES
MANAGEMENT
MATERIALS
NATIONAL SECURITY
NORTH AMERICA
OIL SHALES
PETROLEUM
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
PLANNING
SECURITY
SUPPLY DISRUPTION
USA