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Using Markov Chain models to describe crack growth and inspection effectiveness

Conference · · Am. Soc. Mech. Eng., (Pap.); (United States)
OSTI ID:5483412

This paper describes the use of a simple Markov Chain model for probabilistic fracture mechanics calculations. The model describes the effects of nondestructive inspection as well as crack growth and allows inspection scenarios to be evaluated efficiently. Failure probabilities can be calculated analytically from the model, and Monte Carlo simulation is not required. Markov Chain model results are compared to that of a more complicated Monte Carlo computer code. Finally, the Markov Chain is used to examine crack growth in a feedwater line. These feedwater line results illustrate the interrelationships between inspection effectiveness, material quality and crack growth.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Richland, WA
OSTI ID:
5483412
Report Number(s):
CONF-830607-
Journal Information:
Am. Soc. Mech. Eng., (Pap.); (United States), Journal Name: Am. Soc. Mech. Eng., (Pap.); (United States) Vol. 83-PVP-88; ISSN ASMSA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English