Photovoltaic technology progress and market outlook

Conference · Wed Sep 01 04:00:00 EDT 1982 · Conf. Rec. IEEE Photovoltaic Spec. Conf.; (United States)

OSTI ID:5379657

Maycock, P D; Stirewalt, E

A detailed summary of the major technical options for photovoltaic cells are presented. Key conclusions are: that single crystal Czochralski silicon cells will have 30-40% of the world market by 1990; that one half of the single crystal cells will be sold for concentrators; that semicrystalline silicon cells will serve at least 25% of the world market in 1990; that ribbon and/or thin film silicon will serve about 15-20% of the world market in 1990; that amorphous silicon can serve 15-20% of the 1990 market; and that no compound semiconductor will have more than 5% of the world market. The average prices for 1984 are forecast to be $6 per Watt (1982$). The module prices for 1986 are forecast to be $4/Watt (1982$), and by 1990 average prices of $3/Watt are expected. A market of 100MW in 1986 and over 500MW in 1990 is forecast. The total market, size of key segments and prices to 1990 are presented.

• Research Organization: Photovoltaic Energy Systems Inc., Alexanderia, VA
• OSTI ID: 5379657
• Report Number(s): CONF-820906-
• Conference Information: Journal Name: Conf. Rec. IEEE Photovoltaic Spec. Conf.; (United States)
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

14 SOLAR ENERGY
140501* -- Solar Energy Conversion-- Photovoltaic Conversion
AMORPHOUS STATE
CRYSTAL STRUCTURE
DIRECT ENERGY CONVERTERS
ELEMENTS
EQUIPMENT
FILMS
FORECASTING
GLOBAL ASPECTS
MARKETING
PHOTOELECTRIC CELLS
PHOTOVOLTAIC CELLS
PRICES
SEMIMETALS
SILICON
SILICON SOLAR CELLS
SOLAR CELLS
SOLAR EQUIPMENT
TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT