Climate models: Projections of future climate
- Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt (Netherlands)
In 1995 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) made it`s second scientific assessment of climate change (IPCC, 1995). The projections of future climate in this second scientific assessment, are presented and discussed. Coupled general circulation models (GCM`s) are the state-of-the-art tool to make climate projections. In order to assess global temperature projections for various greenhouse gas scenarios and different assumptions regarding the effects of sulphate aerosols, simple energy balance-upwelling diffusion models are employed to interpolate and extrapolate the GCM results. These models, used for similar tasks in the first assessment (IPCC, 1990), are calibrated to give the same globally averaged temperature response as the global coupled climate models. 4 refs., 5 figs.
- OSTI ID:
- 535142
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-960146--
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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