Oil-spill risk analysis for the Gulf of Mexico (proposed sales 94, 98, and 102) Outer Continental Shelf lease area. Final report

Technical Report · Sat Mar 31 23:00:00 EST 1984

OSTI ID:5330368

LaBelle, R P; Nakassis, A; Lucas, A D

This report summarizes results of an oil-spill risk analysis conducted for the proposed Gulf of Mexico OCS Lease Sales 94, 98, and 102. The object of the study was to determine relative risks associated with oil-and-gas production in different regions of the proposed lease area. The study was done for consideration in the Environmental Impact Statement prepared for the lease area by the Minerals Management Service, and to aid in the final selection of tracts to be offered for sale. For the most likely find volume scenario, the proposed lease offering will result in an estimated 0.15 billion barrels of oil being found and produced over a period spanning 18 years. There is a 75% chance that no spills of 1,000 barrels or larger will occur and contact land. Over the 18-year period used for the most likely find scenario, the mean number of spills estimated to occur from the proposal is less than 5% of that estimated from importing crude oil by tanker.

• Research Organization: Minerals Management Service, Reston, VA (USA)
• OSTI ID: 5330368
• Report Number(s): PB-85-201119/XAB
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

02 PETROLEUM
020200 -- Petroleum-- Reserves
Geology
& Exploration
020900* -- Petroleum-- Environmental Aspects
ATLANTIC OCEAN
CARIBBEAN SEA
ENERGY SOURCES
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
FLUIDS
FOSSIL FUELS
FUEL GAS
FUELS
GAS FUELS
GASES
GEOLOGIC DEPOSITS
GULF OF MEXICO
IMPORTS
LEASING
MINERAL RESOURCES
NATURAL GAS
OIL SPILLS
PETROLEUM DEPOSITS
PRODUCTION
PROPOSALS
RESOURCES
RISK ASSESSMENT
SALES
SEAS
SHIPS
SURFACE WATERS
TANKER SHIPS
TRAJECTORIES