Economic impact of public resource supply constraints in northeast Oregon. Forest Service general technical report
Traditional, fixed-price (input-output) economic models provide a useful framework for conceptualizing links in a regional economy. Apparent shortcomings in these models, however, severely restrict our ability to deduce valid prescriptions for public policy and economic development. A more efficient approach using regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) models as well as a brief survey of relevant literature is presented. Computable general equilibrium results under several different resource policy scenarios are examined and contrasted with a fixed-price analysis. In the most severe CGE scenario, elimination of Federal range programs caused the loss of 1,371 jobs (2.3 percent of regional employment) and $29 million (1.6 percent) of house income; and an 80-percent reduction in Federal log supplies resulted in the loss of 3,329 jobs (5.5 percent of regional employment), and $76 millin (4.2 percent) of household income. These results do not include positive economic impacts associated with improvement in salmon runs. Economic counter scenarios indicate that increases in tourism and high-technology manufacturing and growth in the population of retirees can largely offset total employment and income losses.
- Research Organization:
- Forest Service, Portland, OR (United States). Communications Group
- OSTI ID:
- 529831
- Report Number(s):
- PB-97-183990/XAB; FSGTR-PNW-398; TRN: 72471440
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: DN: See also PB--93-222461; PBD: Apr 1997
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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