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Short-term load forecasting using an artificial neural network

Journal Article · · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1109/59.141695· OSTI ID:5281904
;  [1];  [2]
  1. Electrical Engineering Dept., Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (US)
  2. Electrical Engineering Dept., Pusan National Univ., Pusan 609-735 (KR)

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Method is applied to forecast the short-term load for a large power system. The load has two distinct patterns: weekday and weekend-day patterns. The weekend-day pattern include Saturday, Sunday, and Monday loads. In this paper a nonlinear load model is proposed and several structures of ANN for short-term load forecasting are tested. Inputs to the ANN are past loads and the output of the ANN is the load forecast for a given day. The network with one or two hidden layers are tested with various combination of neurons, and results are compared in terms of forecasting error. The neural network, when grouped into different load patterns, gives good load forecast.

OSTI ID:
5281904
Journal Information:
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States), Journal Name: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers); (United States) Vol. 7:1; ISSN ITPSE; ISSN 0885-8950
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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