Issues in midterm analysis and forecasting 1997
Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1997 (Issues) presents a series of seven papers, which cover topics in analysis and modeling that underlie the Annual Energy Outlook 1997 (AEO97), as well as other significant issues in midterm energy markets. AEO97, DOE/EIA-0383(97), published in December 1996, presents national forecasts of energy production, demand, imports, and prices through the year 2015 for five cases--a reference case and four additional cases that assume higher and lower economic growth and higher and lower world oil prices than in the reference case. The forecasts were generated using the Energy Information Administration`s (EIA) National Energy Modeling Systems (NEMS). The papers included in Issues describe underlying analyses for the projections in AEO97 and other analytical products of EIA`s Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting. This provides public access to analytical work done in preparation for the midterm projections and to other unpublished analyses. Specific topics were chosen for their relevance to current energy issues or to highlight modeling activities in NEMS. The titles of the seven papers are: Sensitivity of energy intensity in US energy markets to technological change and adoption; Development patterns for LNG supply and demand; The impact of international learning on technology cost; Electricity futures in competitive electricity markets: Potential impacts on electricity forecasts; Forecasting Annual Energy Outlook coal transportation rates; Annual Energy Outlook forecast evaluation; and National Energy Modeling System/Annual Energy Outlook conference summary. 80 tabs.
- Research Organization:
- USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States)
- OSTI ID:
- 495762
- Report Number(s):
- DOE/EIA--0607(97); ON: DE97007040; NC: NONE
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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