Residential sector end-use forecasting with EPRI-Reeps 2.1: Summary input assumptions and results

Technical Report · Fri Dec 01 04:00:00 EST 1995

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/451200· OSTI ID:451200

Koomey, J G; Brown, R E; Richey, R ^[1]

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1. and others

This paper describes current and projected future energy use by end-use and fuel for the U.S. residential sector, and assesses which end-uses are growing most rapidly over time. The inputs to this forecast are based on a multi-year data compilation effort funded by the U.S. Department of Energy. We use the Electric Power Research Institute`s (EPRI`s) REEPS model, as reconfigured to reflect the latest end-use technology data. Residential primary energy use is expected to grow 0.3% per year between 1995 and 2010, while electricity demand is projected to grow at about 0.7% per year over this period. The number of households is expected to grow at about 0.8% per year, which implies that the overall primary energy intensity per household of the residential sector is declining, and the electricity intensity per household is remaining roughly constant over the forecast period. These relatively low growth rates are dependent on the assumed growth rate for miscellaneous electricity, which is the single largest contributor to demand growth in many recent forecasts.

• Research Organization: Lawrence Berkeley Lab., CA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC03-76SF00098
• OSTI ID: 451200
• Report Number(s): LBL--34044; ON: DE97004238
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
ELECTRIC POWER
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
FORECASTING
HVAC SYSTEMS
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR