Large-scale atmospheric moisture cycling as evaluated from NMC global analysis and forecast products
Journal Article
·
· Journal of Climate
- Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States)
- Climate Prediction Center, Washington, DC (United States)
The broadscale aspects of the annual cycle of monthly mean global water vapor flux, flux divergence, evaporation, and precipitation derived from the National Meteorological Center (NMC) global analysis and forecast products were examined with two objectives in mind: (1) a critical evaluation of the usefulness of recent NMC products for descriptive and diagnostic studies of the global hydrological cycle and in the process and (2) to provide additional information on the behavior of the annual cycle of selected hydrological parameters over the globe in general and over the United States in particular. The 2-year period August 1991-July 1993, was chosen for study. The global-scale characteristics of the NMC vertically integrated vapor flux fields are described in terms of the rotational and divergent components of the stationary and transient parts of the vapor flux field. The seasonally varying spinup characteristics of the NMC evaporation (E) and precipitation (P) forecasts are examined in terms of differences between the 0-6 h and 12-36 h forecasts. Spinup in P is much larger than spinup in E and is most pronounced (spindown) in the latitudes of the equatorial convergence zones. Comparisons of annual precipitation derived from the NMC 0-6 h forecast with values from the Legates and Willmott and the Jaeger climatologies, and with values from the GPI satellite IR algorithm for the Tropics, are summarized and discussed. Questionable zonally averaged and regional features are identified, but differences are often hard to reconcile due to uncertainties in all the methods of estimation. The value of the NMC vapor flux analyses for studies of continental-scale hydrology is examined by comparing annual P-E derived from the vapor flux divergence field with annual surface runoff derived from mean annual river discharge. 25 refs., 18 figs.
- OSTI ID:
- 447200
- Journal Information:
- Journal of Climate, Journal Name: Journal of Climate Journal Issue: 12 Vol. 9; ISSN 0894-8755; ISSN JLCLEL
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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