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Neural network based short-term load forecasting using weather compensation

Journal Article · · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1109/59.544636· OSTI ID:435359
;  [1]
  1. City Univ. of Hong Kong, Kowloon (Hong Kong). Dept. of Electronic Engineering

This paper presents a novel technique for electric load forecasting based on neural weather compensation. The proposed method is a nonlinear generalization of Box and Jenkins approach for nonstationary time-series prediction. A weather compensation neural network is implemented for one-day ahead electric load forecasting. The weather compensation neural network can accurately predict the change of actual electric load consumption from the previous day. The results, based on Hong Kong Island historical load demand, indicate that this methodology is capable of providing a more accurate load forecast with a 0.9% reduction in forecast error.

OSTI ID:
435359
Report Number(s):
CONF-960111--
Journal Information:
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Journal Name: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Journal Issue: 4 Vol. 11; ISSN 0885-8950; ISSN ITPSEG
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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