Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Deterministic theory of Monte Carlo variance

Journal Article · · Transactions of the American Nuclear Society
OSTI ID:426386
;  [1]
  1. Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI (United States)
The theoretical estimation of variance in Monte Carlo transport simulations, particularly those using variance reduction techniques, is a substantially unsolved problem. In this paper, the authors describe a theory that predicts the variance in a variance reduction method proposed by Dwivedi. Dwivedi`s method combines the exponential transform with angular biasing. The key element of this theory is a new modified transport problem, containing the Monte Carlo weight w as an extra independent variable, which simulates Dwivedi`s Monte Carlo scheme. The (deterministic) solution of this modified transport problem yields an expression for the variance. The authors give computational results that validate this theory.
OSTI ID:
426386
Report Number(s):
CONF-961103--
Journal Information:
Transactions of the American Nuclear Society, Journal Name: Transactions of the American Nuclear Society Vol. 75; ISSN TANSAO; ISSN 0003-018X
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English