Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Logarithmic Resilience Risk Metrics That Address the Huge Variations in Blackout Cost

Journal Article · · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Resilience risk metrics must address the customer cost of the largest blackouts of greatest impact. However, there are huge variations in blackout cost in observed distribution utility data that make it impractical to properly estimate the mean large blackout cost and the corresponding risk. These problems are caused by the heavy tail observed in the distribution of customer costs. To solve these problems, we propose resilience metrics that describe large blackout risk using the mean of the logarithm of the cost of large-cost blackouts, the slope index of the heavy tail, and the frequency of large-cost blackouts.
Research Organization:
Iowa State University, Ames, IA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
National Science Foundation (NSF); USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
Grant/Contract Number:
EE0010724
OSTI ID:
3013705
Journal Information:
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Journal Name: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Journal Issue: 6 Vol. 40; ISSN 0885-8950; ISSN 1558-0679
Publisher:
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (7)

Quantifying distribution system resilience from utility data: large event risk and benefits of investments journal January 2025
Risk-Based Probabilistic Quantification of Power Distribution System Operational Resilience journal September 2020
North American Blackout Time Series Statistics and Implications for Blackout Risk journal November 2016
Extracting Resilience Metrics From Distribution Utility Data Using Outage and Restore Process Statistics journal November 2021
Methods for Analysis and Quantification of Power System Resilience journal September 2023
On The Quantitative Definition of Risk journal March 1981
Power-Law Distributions in Empirical Data journal November 2009

Similar Records

Quantifying Distribution System Resilience From Utility Data: Large Event Risk and Benefits of Investments
Journal Article · Sat Nov 01 20:00:00 EDT 2025 · IET Generation, Transmission, & Distribution · OSTI ID:3013642

A Risk-Driven Probabilistic Approach to Quantify Resilience in Power Distribution Systems
Conference · Mon Jul 04 00:00:00 EDT 2022 · OSTI ID:1887241