Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink

Ruehr, Sophie; Keenan, Trevor F.; Williams, Christopher; Zhou, Yu; Lu, Xinchen; Bastos, Ana; Canadell, Josep G.; Prentice, Iain Colin; Sitch, Stephen; Terrer, César

doi:10.1038/s43017-023-00456-3

Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink

Journal Article · Tue Jul 25 00:00:00 EDT 2023 · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00456-3· OSTI ID:2326960

^[1]; ^[1]; ^[2]; ^[3]; Lu, Xinchen ^[1]; ^[4]; ^[5]; ^[6]; Sitch, Stephen ^[7]; ^[8]

Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Clark Univ., Worcester, MA (United States)
Clark Univ., Worcester, MA (United States); Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States)
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena (Germany)
CSIRO Environment, Canberra, ACT (Australia)
Imperial College, London (United Kingdom); Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (China)
Univ. of Exeter (United Kingdom)
Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)

Climate change has been partially mitigated by an increasing net land carbon sink in the terrestrial biosphere; understanding the processes that drive this sink is thus essential for protecting, managing and projecting this important ecosystem service. In this Review, we examine evidence for an enhanced land carbon sink and attribute the observed response to drivers and processes. This sink has doubled from 1.2 ± 0.5 PgC yr^-1 in the 1960s to 3.1 ± 0.6 PgC yr^-1 in the 2010s. This trend results largely from carbon dioxide fertilization increasing photosynthesis (driving an increase in the annual land carbon sink of >2 PgC globally since 1900), mainly in tropical forest regions, and elevated temperatures reducing cold limitation, mainly at higher latitudes. Continued long-term land carbon sequestration is possible through the end of this century under multiple emissions scenarios, especially if nature-based climate solutions and appropriate ecosystem management are used. In conclusion, a new generation of globally distributed field experiments is needed to improve understanding of future carbon sink potential by measuring belowground carbon release, the response to carbon dioxide enrichment, and long-term shifts in carbon allocation and turnover.

View Accepted Manuscript (DOE)

Research Organization:: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER). Earth and Environmental Systems Science Division

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-05CH11231; SC0021023

OSTI ID:: 2326960

Journal Information:: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Journal Name: Nature Reviews Earth & Environment Journal Issue: 8 Vol. 4; ISSN 2662-138X

Publisher:: Springer NatureCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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