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Title: Determining Physical Parameters of Shielded Uranium using Gamma Spectroscopy and the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) Method

Journal Article · · Transactions of the American Nuclear Society
OSTI ID:23047482
; ; ;  [1]
  1. Oak Ridge National Laboratory: P.O. Box 2008, Oak Ridge, TN, 37831 (United States)

Inverse radiation transport is a well-established method for determining unknown parameters within a system that exhibits particle leakage. Two significant challenges of solving inverse transport problems are (1) to determine multiple unknowns without false convergence on local minima and (2) to be able to quantify uncertainty. It was recently demonstrated that the Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) method effectively meets both of these challenges. In Bledsoe's 2014 article, the DREAM method was only applied to numerical test cases in which measured data were simulated using MCNP. This paper provides results of research conducted at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) in which DREAM was applied to two-dimensional inverse transport problems using real-world measurements. The DREAM method uses a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to obtain a posterior distribution of unknown parameters. In this application, the posterior distribution is determined by using a uniform prior distribution and a likelihood function. The goal of the inverse problem is to find the regions in which the likelihood function is at or near its maximum. In the traditional MCMC approach, a single Markov chain is employed. In practice, MCMC approaches have a high acceptance rate to solutions that are near the current point of sampling, but they exhibit slow convergence to solutions far from the sampling point. The DREAM algorithm was designed to alleviate this issue by initiating multiple Markov chains and using the differential evolution algorithm to generate trial points for each chain. Solving for the mass of radioactive material within a voluminous source is a challenging problem for gamma-ray spectroscopy. Inverse gamma-ray transport can supply a range of possible material compositions, but reducing the differences between predicted and actual measurements can lead to false results. DREAM is a rapid technique for determining the most likely solution for several unknown parameters in an inverse transport problem. This work applies DREAM to a series of gamma spectroscopy experiments performed at ORNL.

OSTI ID:
23047482
Journal Information:
Transactions of the American Nuclear Society, Vol. 116; Conference: 2017 Annual Meeting of the American Nuclear Society, San Francisco, CA (United States), 11-15 Jun 2017; Other Information: Country of input: France; 6 refs.; available from American Nuclear Society - ANS, 555 North Kensington Avenue, La Grange Park, IL 60526 (US); ISSN 0003-018X
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English