Predicting Solar Modulation Potentials for Modeling Cosmic Background Radiation
- Los Alamos National Laboratory, Bikini Atoll Rd. P.O. Box 1663, MS: P939, Los Alamos, NM 87545 (United States)
The modeling of the detectability of special nuclear material (SNM) at ports and border crossings requires accurate knowledge of the background radiation at those locations. Background radiation originates from two main sources, cosmic and terrestrial. Cosmic background is produced by high-energy galactic cosmic rays (GCR) entering the atmosphere inducing a cascade of particles that eventually impact the earth's surface. The solar modulation potential represents one of the primary inputs to modeling cosmic background radiation. Usoskin et al. formally define solar modulation potential as 'the mean energy loss [per unit charge, in units of megavolts (MV),] of a cosmic ray particle inside the heliosphere...'. Modulation potential, a function of elevation, location, and time, shares an inverse relationship with cosmic background radiation. As a result, radiation detector background thresholds require adjustment to account for differing background levels, caused in part by differing solar modulations. Failure to do this can result in higher rates of false positives and failed detection of SNM during low and high levels of solar modulation potential, respectively. This study focuses on solar modulation's time dependence and seeks the best method to predict modulation for future dates. The best method will be incorporated into NINESIM, a discrete event simulator. An in-depth description of NINESIM is beyond the scope and purpose of this paper. (authors)
- OSTI ID:
- 23042768
- Journal Information:
- Transactions of the American Nuclear Society, Vol. 115; Conference: 2016 ANS Winter Meeting and Nuclear Technology Expo, Las Vegas, NV (United States), 6-10 Nov 2016; Other Information: Country of input: France; 4 refs.; available from American Nuclear Society - ANS, 555 North Kensington Avenue, La Grange Park, IL 60526 (US); ISSN 0003-018X
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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