Breaking Through Historical Biases in Performance Assessments - 18056
- Savannah River National Laboratory (United States)
- Savannah River Remediation (United States)
- US Department of Energy Office of Environmental Management (United States)
Performance assessments (referred to as safety assessments internationally), which include mathematical modeling of natural and engineered systems for many hundreds and thousands of years, play an important role in decision-making for disposal of radioactive waste and cleanup of sites and facilities contaminated with radioactive material. These decisions can involve options costing hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars. Thus, it is critical to understand the underlying assumptions behind regulatory and technical aspects of these assessments to better understand and communicate the basis for decisions. Policy and technical biases deliberately built into early assessment approaches allowed safety margin to account for uncertainties known to be present, but not quantitatively assessed. Many of these biases (e.g., regulatory standards, human habits, effectiveness of waste forms, inadvertent intrusion assumptions, etc.) continue to exist in spite of advances in technical approaches and knowledge. These built-in biases, often not effectively communicated, can lead to misleading interpretation of results and potentially influence public confidence and costly regulatory decisions regarding the safety of a disposal facility or a closure action. (authors)
- Research Organization:
- WM Symposia, Inc., PO Box 27646, 85285-7646 Tempe, AZ (United States)
- OSTI ID:
- 22975276
- Report Number(s):
- INIS-US-20-WM-18056; TRN: US21V0090015318
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: WM2018: 44. Annual Waste Management Conference, Phoenix, AZ (United States), 18-22 Mar 2018; Other Information: Country of input: France; 4 refs.; Available online at: https://www.xcdsystem.com/wmsym/2018/index.html
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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