skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Region and cloud regime dependence of parametric sensitivity in E3SM atmosphere model

Journal Article · · Climate Dynamics

The Department of Energy (DOE)’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), including its atmosphere model (EAM), has many relatively new features. In a previous study we conducted a systematic parametric sensitivity analysis for EAM based on short, perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) simulations, mainly focusing on global mean climate features and metrics. While parameter values in global climate models are generally invariant in space and time, model response to parameters perturbation may vary by regions and climate regimes, which motivates the need to better understand the EAM model behaviors and physics at regional scale and process level. In this study, using the same set of PPE simulations and a similar sensitivity analysis framework, we identify parameters that cause largest sensitivities over different regions and compare model responses in fast atmospheric processes to the parameters across different cloud regimes for several important cloud-related fidelity metrics. We find that cloud forcing has opposite response to some parameters over mid-latitude vs. tropical land. We also analyze how the parametric sensitivity varies as stratocumulus transitions to shallow convection and to deep convection over ocean. Low cloud forcing and shortwave cloud forcing in the subtropical eastern Pacific are most sensitive to the parameters controlling the width of the probability density function (PDF) of the subgrid vertical velocity (w’) (gamma) and the damping of the w’ skewness (c8) near the coast but become more sensitive to the parameter affecting the damping of the w’ variance (c1) further offshore. Detailed interpretation of the spatial dependence of parametric sensitivity is provided. We also investigate how the parametric sensitivity evolves with prediction duration. This study improves our process-level understanding of cloud physics and parameterization and provides insights for developing more advanced regime-aware parameterization schemes in global climate model.

Research Organization:
Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL), Upton, NY (United States); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States); Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0012704; AC06-76RLO1830; AC52-07NA27344; AC05-00OR22725; AC02-05CH11231; AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
2202888
Alternate ID(s):
OSTI ID: 2246883; OSTI ID: 2282840; OSTI ID: 2283292
Report Number(s):
BNL-225065-2023-JAAM; LLNL-JRNL-859621; PNNL-SA-182222; PII: 6977
Journal Information:
Climate Dynamics, Journal Name: Climate Dynamics Vol. 62 Journal Issue: 2; ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher:
Springer Science + Business MediaCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (97)

The Numerical Representation of Entrainment in Parameterizations of Boundary Layer Turbulent Mixing journal May 2001
A Parameterization of the Cloudiness Associated with Cumulus Convection; Evaluation Using TOGA COARE Data journal November 2001
Climate projections of future extreme events accounting for modelling uncertainties and historical simulation biases journal March 2014
Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection journal May 2016
Parameterizing Convective Organization Effects With a Moisture‐PDF Approach in Climate Models: Concept and a Regional Case Simulation journal May 2022
On the contribution of local feedback mechanisms to the range of climate sensitivity in two GCM ensembles journal February 2006
Global Precipitation: A 17-Year Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Model Outputs journal November 1997
Impact of decadal cloud variations on the Earth’s energy budget journal October 2016
Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems journal July 2003
Toward Optimal Closure of the Earth's Top-of-Atmosphere Radiation Budget journal February 2009
Advanced Two-Moment Bulk Microphysics for Global Models. Part II: Global Model Solutions and Aerosol–Cloud Interactions journal February 2015
Collinearity in generalized linear models journal January 1989
Short ensembles: an efficient method for discerning climate-relevant sensitivities in atmospheric general circulation models journal January 2014
A Prognostic Cloud Water Parameterization for Global Climate Models journal February 1996
Large Sample Properties of Simulations Using Latin Hypercube Sampling journal May 1987
The VAMOS Ocean-Cloud-Atmosphere-Land Study Regional Experiment (VOCALS-REx): goals, platforms, and field operations journal January 2011
A sensitivity study of radiative fluxes at the top of atmosphere to cloud-microphysics and aerosol parameters in the community atmosphere model CAM5 journal January 2013
Using Probability Density Functions to Derive Consistent Closure Relationships among Higher-Order Moments journal April 2005
The Impact of Convection on ENSO: From a Delayed Oscillator to a Series of Events journal November 2008
The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model journal January 2016
Considerations for parameter optimization and sensitivity in climate models journal November 2010
Better calibration of cloud parameterizations and subgrid effects increases the fidelity of the E3SM Atmosphere Model version 1 journal January 2022
Some issues in uncertainty quantification and parameter tuning: a case study of convective parameterization scheme in the WRF regional climate model journal January 2012
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model Simulations With High Vertical Resolution in the Lower Troposphere journal June 2021
Optimizing Parameters in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model journal September 2005
NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2) journal November 2002
Evaluation of Clouds in Version 1 of the E3SM Atmosphere Model With Satellite Simulators journal May 2019
On the Correspondence between Short- and Long-Time-Scale Systematic Errors in CAM4/CAM5 for the Year of Tropical Convection journal November 2012
The DOE E3SM Model Version 2: Overview of the Physical Model and Initial Model Evaluation journal December 2022
Description and evaluation of a new four-mode version of the Modal Aerosol Module (MAM4) within version 5.3 of the Community Atmosphere Model journal January 2016
A Prognostic Parameterization for the Subgrid-Scale Variability of Water Vapor and Clouds in Large-Scale Models and Its Use to Diagnose Cloud Cover journal June 2002
An Efficient Stochastic Bayesian Approach to Optimal Parameter and Uncertainty Estimation for Climate Model Predictions journal July 2004
The Seasonal Cycle of Low Stratiform Clouds journal August 1993
Assessing WRF model parameter sensitivity: A case study with 5 day summer precipitation forecasting in the Greater Beijing Area: Assessing WRF parameter sensitivity journal January 2015
PDF Parameterization of Boundary Layer Clouds in Models with Horizontal Grid Spacings from 2 to 16 km journal January 2012
Hydrometeor Detection Using Cloudsat —An Earth-Orbiting 94-GHz Cloud Radar journal April 2008
Sensitivity of surface flux simulations to hydrologic parameters based on an uncertainty quantification framework applied to the Community Land Model: UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION FOR CLM4 journal August 2012
Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles journal May 2010
Uncertainty quantification and parameter tuning in the CAM5 Zhang-McFarlane convection scheme and impact of improved convection on the global circulation and climate: PARAMETERS TUNING IN CAM5 AND ITS IMPACT journal January 2013
Advanced Two-Moment Bulk Microphysics for Global Models. Part I: Off-Line Tests and Comparison with Other Schemes journal February 2015
Why the ITCZ Is Mostly North of the Equator journal December 1996
Optimization of NWP model closure parameters using total energy norm of forecast error as a target journal January 2014
Ongoing Breakthroughs in Convective Parameterization journal April 2019
Energy considerations in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM): ENERGY CONSIDERATIONS IN CAM journal July 2015
Regional assessment of the parameter-dependent performance of CAM4 in simulating tropical clouds: REGIONAL TROPICAL CLOUDS IN CAM4 journal July 2012
Choosing the Sample Size of a Computer Experiment: A Practical Guide journal November 2009
How Well Do We Understand and Evaluate Climate Change Feedback Processes? journal August 2006
An evaluation of adaptive surrogate modeling based optimization with two benchmark problems journal October 2014
Parametric sensitivity analysis of precipitation at global and local scales in the Community Atmosphere Model CAM5 journal April 2015
Multi-objective parameter optimization of common land model using adaptive surrogate modeling journal January 2015
Elucidating Model Inadequacies in a Cloud Parameterization by Use of an Ensemble-Based Calibration Framework journal December 2007
Marine boundary layer clouds at the heart of tropical cloud feedback uncertainties in climate models journal January 2005
How well must climate models agree with observations? journal October 2015
Sensitivity of climate simulations to the parameterization of cumulus convection in the Canadian climate centre general circulation model journal September 1995
Parameter variations in prediction skill optimization at ECMWF journal January 2013
A More Powerful Reality Test for Climate Models journal May 2016
Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations journal March 2014
Parameter Tuning and Calibration of RegCM3 with MIT–Emanuel Cumulus Parameterization Scheme over CORDEX East Asia Domain journal October 2014
Parametric behaviors of CLUBB in simulations of low clouds in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM): PARAMETRIC BEHAVIORS OF CLUBB IN CAM journal July 2015
Climate sensitivity and cloud response of a GCM with a superparameterization journal January 2006
An Introduction to the E3SM Special Collection: Goals, Science Drivers, Development, and Analysis journal November 2020
Unified Parameterization of Convective Boundary Layer Transport and Clouds With the Thermal Plume Model journal September 2019
The Cumulus Parameterization Problem: Past, Present, and Future journal July 2004
A multiscale modeling framework model (superparameterized CAM5) with a higher‐order turbulence closure: Model description and low‐cloud simulations journal April 2015
Comparison of the ECMWF Reanalysis with FIRE I Observations: Diurnal Variation of Marine Stratocumulus journal April 2001
Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments journal July 2009
Objective calibration of regional climate models: OBJECTIVE CALIBRATION OF RCMS journal December 2012
Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases journal January 2005
Tuning without over-tuning: parametric uncertainty quantification for the NEMO ocean model journal January 2017
The Role of Convective Gustiness in Reducing Seasonal Precipitation Biases in the Tropical West Pacific journal April 2018
Simulation of low clouds in the Southeast Pacific by the NCEP GFS: sensitivity to vertical mixing journal January 2010
Evaluating Parameterizations in General Circulation Models: Climate Simulation Meets Weather Prediction journal December 2004
A sensitivity analysis of cloud properties to CLUBB parameters in the single-column Community Atmosphere Model (SCAM5) journal August 2014
Boundary Layer Clouds in a Global Atmospheric Model: Simple Cloud Cover Parameterizations journal June 2002
Quantifying the local and remote impacts of sub‐grid physical processes on the Southeast Pacific sea surface fluxes in the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 by a limited‐area parameter perturbation approach journal August 2021
On the interpretation of inter-model spread in CMIP5 climate sensitivity estimates journal March 2013
On the Correspondence between Mean Forecast Errors and Climate Errors in CMIP5 Models journal February 2014
A Unified Eddy-Diffusivity/Mass-Flux Approach for Modeling Atmospheric Convection journal August 2019
Climate model forecast biases assessed with a perturbed physics ensemble journal October 2016
Shallow Cumulus in WRF Parameterizations Evaluated against LASSO Large-Eddy Simulations journal December 2018
Vertical velocity variance and skewness in clear and cloud-topped boundary layers as revealed by Doppler lidar
  • Hogan, Robin J.; Grant, Alan L. M.; Illingworth, Anthony J.
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 135, Issue 640 https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.413
journal April 2009
The Relevance of Theory for Contemporary Research in Atmospheres, Oceans, and Climate journal June 2020
Tropical Convection and the Energy Balance at the Top of the Atmosphere journal December 2001
Error Reduction and Convergence in Climate Prediction journal December 2008
Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing journal January 2014
Boundary Layer Depth, Entrainment, and Decoupling in the Cloud-Capped Subtropical and Tropical Marine Boundary Layer journal September 2004
A PDF-Based Model for Boundary Layer Clouds. Part I: Method and Model Description journal December 2002
Cloud representation in general-circulation models over the northern Pacific Ocean: A EUROCS intercomparison study journal October 2004
Peruvian Stratus Clouds and the Tropical Pacific Circulation: A Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM Study journal July 1996
The Role of Clouds, Water Vapor, Circulation, and Boundary Layer Structure in the Sensitivity of the Tropical Climate journal August 1999
An Energy-Balance Analysis of Deep Convective Self-Aggregation above Uniform SST journal December 2005
Tropical and Subtropical Cloud Transitions in Weather and Climate Prediction Models: The GCSS/WGNE Pacific Cross-Section Intercomparison (GPCI) journal October 2011
Surrogate-based analysis and optimization journal January 2005
The effect of time steps and time-scales on parametrization suites journal August 2012
The Art and Science of Climate Model Tuning journal March 2017
Low‐Cloud Feedback in CAM5‐CLUBB: Physical Mechanisms and Parameter Sensitivity Analysis journal November 2018
Simulating aerosols using a chemical transport model with assimilation of satellite aerosol retrievals: Methodology for INDOEX journal April 2001