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Title: TRANSIT TIMING OBSERVATIONS FROM KEPLER. I. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FIRST FOUR MONTHS

Journal Article · · Astrophysical Journal, Supplement Series
 [1]; ; ; ;  [2];  [3]; ; ;  [4]; ; ; ;  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [11];  [12]
  1. Astronomy Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32111 (United States)
  2. SETI Institute, Mountain View, CA 94043 (United States)
  3. UCO/Lick Observatory, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064 (United States)
  4. Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138 (United States)
  5. NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA 94035 (United States)
  6. Fermilab Center for Particle Astrophysics, Batavia, IL 60510 (United States)
  7. Department of Physics and Astronomy, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA 95192 (United States)
  8. Lowell Observatory, Flagstaff, AZ 86001 (United States)
  9. Jet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109 (United States)
  10. Centre for Astrophysics Research, University of Hertfordshire, College Lane, Hatfield, AL10 9AB (United Kingdom)
  11. Astronomy Department, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 (United States)
  12. Orbital Sciences Corporation/NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA 94035 (United States)

The architectures of multiple planet systems can provide valuable constraints on models of planet formation, including orbital migration, and excitation of orbital eccentricities and inclinations. NASA's Kepler mission has identified 1235 transiting planet candidates. The method of transit timing variations (TTVs) has already confirmed seven planets in two planetary systems. We perform a transit timing analysis of the Kepler planet candidates. We find that at least {approx}11% of planet candidates currently suitable for TTV analysis show evidence suggestive of TTVs, representing at least {approx}65 TTV candidates. In all cases, the time span of observations must increase for TTVs to provide strong constraints on planet masses and/or orbits, as expected based on N-body integrations of multiple transiting planet candidate systems (assuming circular and coplanar orbits). We find the fraction of planet candidates showing TTVs in this data set does not vary significantly with the number of transiting planet candidates per star, suggesting significant mutual inclinations and that many stars with a single transiting planet should host additional non-transiting planets. We anticipate that Kepler could confirm (or reject) at least {approx}12 systems with multiple transiting planet candidates via TTVs. Thus, TTVs will provide a powerful tool for confirming transiting planets and characterizing the orbital dynamics of low-mass planets. If Kepler observations were extended to at least seven years, then TTVs would provide much more precise constraints on the dynamics of systems with multiple transiting planets and would become sensitive to planets with orbital periods extending into the habitable zone of solar-type stars.

OSTI ID:
21560322
Journal Information:
Astrophysical Journal, Supplement Series, Vol. 197, Issue 1; Other Information: DOI: 10.1088/0067-0049/197/1/2; ISSN 0067-0049
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English