International photovoltaic markets, developments and trends forecast to 2010
- PV Energy Systems, Inc., Catlett, VA (United States)
The 1993 world PV module shipments increased 6.7% from 57.9 MW in 1992 to 60.09 MW in 1993. European shipments increased 1% from 16.4 MW in 1992 to 16.55 MW in 1993. US shipments increased 24% to 22.44 MW and Japanese shipments decreased 11% to 16.7 MW. The status of all major PV module producers will be summarized. New entrants in the thin film area include: Golden Photon (CdTe), Solar Cells Inc. (CdTe), United Solar Systems (triple stack amorphous silicon), B.P. Solar (CdTe), and Astropower (silicon film). In the silicon crystal area, plant expansions have been made by Siemens Solar Industries, B.P. Solar, and Solec International. New crystal silicon entrants include: Astropower, Texas Instruments, Nukem, and Gallivare. Potential capacity increases by 1996 of 75--100 MW are described. Module performance (efficiency and warranty), and manufacturing costs will be summarized and forecast to 2010. In the limit, the sliced silicon product tends to approach profitable prices of $2 per watt, while several thin films options and concentrators can be manufactured with profitable prices less than $1.50 per watt. The world market for PV modules is summarized by market sector and forecast to 2010 under 2 scenarios--Business as usual and Accelerated. Under the Business as Usual assumptions, world PV module shipments are forecast to be 195 MW in 1995 and 800 MW in 2010. The Accelerated scenario forecasts world module shipments in 2000 to be 440 MW and 4,000 MW in 2010. Module shipments for the last four years have been growing at a rate well below the BAU scenario. Preliminary 1994 data indicate module shipments of 70--74 MW, a 20% increase over 1993.
- OSTI ID:
- 208160
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-941203-; ISBN 0-7803-1459-X; TRN: IM9616%%488
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: 1. world conference on photovoltaic energy conversion, Waikoloa, HI (United States), 5-9 Dec 1994; Other Information: PBD: 1994; Related Information: Is Part Of 1994 IEEE first world conference on photovoltaic energy conversion: Conference record of the twenty fourth IEEE photovoltaic specialists conference -- 1994. Volume 1; PB: 1303 p.
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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