Identifying Indicators of Sociopolitical Instability in Iran [Slides]
- Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Introduction: Socio Political Instability - Defined as “the likelihood that a government will be overthrown by unconstitutional or violent means, including social unrest, violence, hostility, or terrorism." Global protests and demonstrations have increased 244% in the last decades. Better understanding of the drivers and motivations behind this increasing instability may help inform preventative or de-escalation measures. Identifying measurable indicators and drivers of sociopolitical unrest is the first step in accomplishing this task and may aid with event forecasting through modeling.
- Research Organization:
- Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program; USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
- DOE Contract Number:
- 89233218CNA000001
- OSTI ID:
- 2005763
- Report Number(s):
- LA-UR--23-30735
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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