Nuclear Trade Atlas 2016-2020

Book · Thu Jun 08 04:00:00 EDT 2023

OSTI ID:1991791

Versino, Cristina ^[1]; Heine, Peter M. ^[2]; Cagno, Simone ^[3]; Seger, Heather A. ^[4]; Carrera, Julie ^[5]

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1. European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)
2. BATTELLE (PACIFIC NW LAB)
3. Joint Research Centre (JRC)
4. ARGONNE NATL LAB
5. Argonne National Laboratory

Building on prior work developing a Strategic Trade Atlas promoting understanding of global trade flows of strategic goods, a Nuclear Trade Atlas was developed based on publicly available trade data. The Nuclear Trade Atlas examines trade patterns and trends for seventeen commodities based on a two-step assessment of the trade’s nuclear relevance: first estimating the probability that trade classified under a given Harmonized System (HS) code represents a specific commodity included in the export control lists of the Nuclear Suppliers Group, and second estimating the probability that the listed, often dual-use, commodity would be indicative of nuclear use. These estimates combine to provide a measure of the likelihood trade classified under a given HS code may be nuclear relevant. By exclusively focusing on the HS codes most highly ranked by this measure, the resulting data visualizations comprising the Nuclear Trade Atlas provide those responsible for regulating or monitoring nuclear trade greater understanding of relevant global trading patterns and trends. The Atlas includes both commodity- and country-based views of nuclear trade. It is published as a book and as an interactive tool. Besides trade data, the interactive Atlas also includes data about countries’ non-proliferation commitments, allowing users to take this information into consideration while analyzing specific trade flows.

• Research Organization: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
• Sponsoring Organization: USDOE
• DOE Contract Number: AC05-76RL01830
• OSTI ID: 1991791
• Report Number(s): PNNL-SA-187607
• Country of Publication: Luxembourg
• Language: English

Related Subjects

strategic trade
world customs organization
trade analysis
trade data