skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: The Worldwide C3S CORDEX Grand Ensemble: A Major Contribution to Assess Regional Climate Change in the IPCC AR6 Atlas

Journal Article · · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [3];  [3];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [11];  [12];  [3];  [13];  [14];  [15];  [16] more »;  [17];  [18];  [19];  [20];  [21];  [22];  [23];  [24];  [25];  [26];  [27];  [28];  [29];  [30];  [31];  [32];  [33];  [34];  [35];  [36];  [37];  [38];  [23];  [39];  [40];  [41];  [42];  [43];  [22];  [29];  [44];  [23];  [23];  [45];  [46];  [29];  [47];  [48];  [49];  [50];  [51];  [52];  [53];  [54] « less
  1. Instituto de Física de Cantabria, CSIC–Universidad de Cantabria, and Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;;Instituto de Física de Cantabria, CSIC–Universidad de Cantabria, and Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;
  2. Instituto de Física de Cantabria, CSIC–Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;;Instituto de Física de Cantabria, CSIC–Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;
  3. Instituto de Física de Cantabria, CSIC–Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;
  4. Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;;Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain;
  5. Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden;;Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden;
  6. Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université/CNRS, Paris, France;;Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université/CNRS, Paris, France;
  7. Rossby Centre, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden;
  8. Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, Germany;;Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, Germany;
  9. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom;;European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom;
  10. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom;
  11. Predictia Intelligent Data Solutions SL, Santander, Spain;;Predictia Intelligent Data Solutions SL, Santander, Spain;
  12. Predictia Intelligent Data Solutions SL, Santander, Spain;
  13. Institute for Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany;;Institute for Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany;
  14. CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France;;CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France;
  15. Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee;;Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee;
  16. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado;;National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado;
  17. Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom;;Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom;
  18. Department of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium;;Department of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium;
  19. National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São Paulo, Brazil;;National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São Paulo, Brazil;
  20. National Centre for Climate Research, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark;;National Centre for Climate Research, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark;
  21. Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;;Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;
  22. Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;
  23. CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France;
  24. Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;;Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland;
  25. Faculty of Physics, University of Belgrade, Serbia;;Faculty of Physics, University of Belgrade, Serbia;
  26. Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia;;Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia;
  27. ICARUS, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Kildare, Ireland;;ICARUS, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Kildare, Ireland;
  28. Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany;;Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany;
  29. Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Hamburg, Germany;
  30. Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Pune, India;;Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Pune, India;
  31. Oceans and Atmosphere, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia;;Oceans and Atmosphere, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia;
  32. Brandenburg University of Technology, Cottbus–Senftenberg, Cottbus, Germany;;Brandenburg University of Technology, Cottbus–Senftenberg, Cottbus, Germany;
  33. Department of Geography, UR SPHERES, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium;;Department of Geography, UR SPHERES, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium;
  34. Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey;;Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey;
  35. Centre ESCER, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Department, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada;;Centre ESCER, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Department, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada;
  36. Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici. Lecce, Italy;;Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici. Lecce, Italy;
  37. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado;
  38. Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Caserta, Italy;;Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Caserta, Italy;
  39. Aeronautics and Astronautics Faculty, Meteorological Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey;;Aeronautics and Astronautics Faculty, Meteorological Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey;
  40. Department of Physics, Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Isik University, Istanbul, Turkey;;Department of Physics, Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Isik University, Istanbul, Turkey;
  41. Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany;
  42. Ouranos, Montréal, Quebec, Canada;;Ouranos, Montréal, Quebec, Canada;
  43. Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences, Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), Budapest, Hungary;;Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences, Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), Budapest, Hungary;
  44. Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada;;Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada;
  45. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany;;Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany;
  46. Department of Earth Sciences and Environment, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia;;Department of Earth Sciences and Environment, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia;
  47. Royal Meteorological Institute, Brussels, Belgium;;Royal Meteorological Institute, Brussels, Belgium;
  48. Oceans and Atmosphere, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia;
  49. Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences, Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), Budapest, Hungary;
  50. Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands;;Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands;
  51. Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université/CNRS, Paris, France;
  52. Institute of Physics and Meteorology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany;;Institute of Physics and Meteorology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany;
  53. Centre ESCER, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences Department, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada;
  54. Climate and Atmosphere Research Center, Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus;Climate and Atmosphere Research Center, Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus

The collaboration between the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) and the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) provides open access to an unprecedented ensemble of regional climate model (RCM) simulations, across the 14 CORDEX continental-scale domains, with global coverage. These simulations have been used as a new line of evidence to assess regional climate projections in the latest contribution of the Working Group I (WGI) to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), particularly in the regional chapters and the Atlas. Here, we present the work done in the framework of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) to assemble a consistent worldwide CORDEX grand ensemble, aligned with the deadlines and activities of IPCC AR6. This work addressed the uneven and heterogeneous availability of CORDEX ESGF data by supporting publication in CORDEX domains with few archived simulations and performing quality control. It also addressed the lack of comprehensive documentation by compiling information from all contributing regional models, allowing for an informed use of data. In addition to presenting the worldwide CORDEX dataset, we assess here its consistency for precipitation and temperature by comparing climate change signals in regions with overlapping CORDEX domains, obtaining overall coincident regional climate change signals. The C3S CORDEX dataset has been used for the assessment of regional climate change in the IPCC AR6 (and for the interactive Atlas) and is available through the Copernicus Climate Data Store (CDS).

Research Organization:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Contributing Organization:
Working Group I
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
OSTI ID:
1906586
Journal Information:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 103, Issue 12; ISSN 0003-0007
Publisher:
American Meteorological SocietyCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (41)

European daily precipitation according to EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) and high-resolution global climate models (GCMs) from the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) journal January 2020
Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble journal March 2021
COSMO-CLM regional climate simulations in the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) framework: a review journal August 2021
Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO‐CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble journal February 2021
Assessing mean climate change signals in the global CORDEX-CORE ensemble journal November 2020
WFDE5: bias-adjusted ERA5 reanalysis data for impact studies journal January 2020
Evaluation and future projections of temperature, precipitation and wind extremes over Europe in an ensemble of regional climate simulations journal January 2011
Bias corrections of global models for regional climate simulations of high-impact weather journal December 2013
On the need for regional climate information over Africa under varying levels of global warming journal June 2018
Evaluation of an ensemble of regional climate model simulations over South America driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis: model performance and uncertainties journal January 2013
Comparing Arctic Regional Climate Model journal January 2002
WCRP COordinated Regional Downscaling EXperiment (CORDEX): a diagnostic MIP for CMIP6 journal January 2016
Transferability Intercomparison: An Opportunity for New Insight on the Global Water Cycle and Energy Budget journal March 2007
Regional climate hindcast simulations within EURO-CORDEX: evaluation of a WRF multi-physics ensemble journal January 2015
Global exposure of population and land‐use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs : A CORDEX ‐based study journal August 2021
Regional Dynamical Downscaling and the CORDEX Initiative journal November 2015
The spread amongst ENSEMBLES regional scenarios: regional climate models, driving general circulation models and interannual variability journal April 2011
Enhanced summer convective rainfall at Alpine high elevations in response to climate warming journal July 2016
A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century journal March 2007
A multi-model, multi-scenario, and multi-domain analysis of regional climate projections for the Mediterranean journal November 2019
Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data journal May 2020
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results journal September 2012
Large discrepancies in summer climate change over Europe as projected by global and regional climate models: causes and consequences journal February 2020
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment journal February 2010
A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models journal May 2020
The representative concentration pathways: an overview journal August 2011
Evaluation of the large EURO‐CORDEX regional climate model ensemble journal November 2020
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX community journal April 2020
Assessing Multidomain Overlaps and Grand Ensemble Generation in CORDEX Regional Projections journal February 2020
Projected future changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX–SEA multi-model simulations journal June 2020
Future evolution of surface solar radiation and photovoltaic potential in Europe: investigating the role of aerosols journal March 2020
Spatial spin-up of fine scales in a regional climate model simulation driven by low-resolution boundary conditions journal September 2016
Evaluation of New CORDEX Simulations Using an Updated Köppen–Trewartha Climate Classification journal November 2019
Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations (PIRCS): Description and initial results journal August 1999
The simulation of European heat waves from an ensemble of regional climate models within the EURO-CORDEX project journal April 2013
The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system journal April 2011
Regional Climate Model Intercomparison Project for Asia journal February 2005
The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis journal February 2022
An update of IPCC climate reference regions for subcontinental analysis of climate model data: definition and aggregated datasets journal January 2020
Land-atmosphere coupling in EURO-CORDEX evaluation experiments: Land-Atmosphere Coupling in EURO-CORDEX journal January 2017
The Earth System Grid Federation: An open infrastructure for access to distributed geospatial data journal July 2014

Similar Records

Assessing mean climate change signals in the global CORDEX-CORE ensemble
Journal Article · Mon Nov 09 00:00:00 EST 2020 · Climate Dynamics · OSTI ID:1906586

Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble
Journal Article · Tue Mar 02 00:00:00 EST 2021 · Climate Dynamics · OSTI ID:1906586

The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis
Journal Article · Tue Feb 01 00:00:00 EST 2022 · Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society · OSTI ID:1906586