Climate Change Risks to Global Forest Health: Emergence of Unexpected Events of Elevated Tree Mortality Worldwide

Hartmann, Henrik; Bastos, Ana; Das, Adrian J.; Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane; Hammond, William M.; Martínez-Vilalta, Jordi; McDowell, Nate G.; Powers, Jennifer S.; Pugh, Thomas A.M.; Ruthrof, Katinka X.; Allen, Craig D.

doi:10.1146/annurev-arplant-102820-012804

Title: Climate Change Risks to Global Forest Health: Emergence of Unexpected Events of Elevated Tree Mortality Worldwide

Journal Article · Tue Mar 01 00:00:00 EST 2022 · Annual Review of Plant Biology

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-arplant-102820-012804· OSTI ID:1876701

Hartmann, Henrik ^[1]; Bastos, Ana ^[1]; Das, Adrian J. ^[2]; Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane ^[3]; Hammond, William M. ^[4]; Martínez-Vilalta, Jordi ^[5]; McDowell, Nate G. ^[6]; Powers, Jennifer S. ^[7]; Pugh, Thomas A.M. ^[8]; Ruthrof, Katinka X. ^[9]; Allen, Craig D. ^[10]

Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena (Germany)
US Geological Survey, CA (United States); Western Ecological Research Center, Oakhurst, CA; Sequoia and Kings Canyon Field Station, Three Rivers, CA (United States)
Univ. of Birmingham (United Kingdom)
Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States)
Univ. Autonoma de Barcelona (CREAF), Bellaterra, Catalonia (Spain)
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA (United States)
Univ. of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN (United States)
Univ. of Birmingham (United Kingdom); Lund Univ. (Sweden)
Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions, Kensington, WA (Australia); Murdoch Univ., WA (Australia)
Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM (United States)

Recent observations of elevated tree mortality following climate extremes, like heat and drought, raise concerns about climate change risks to global forest health. We currently lack both sufficient data and understanding to identify whether these observations represent a global trend toward increasing tree mortality. In this work, we document events of sudden and unexpected elevated tree mortality following heat and drought events in ecosystems that previously were considered tolerant or not at risk of exposure. These events underscore the fact that climate change may affect forests with unexpected force in the future. We use the events as examples to highlight current difficulties and challenges for realistically predicting such tree mortality events and the uncertainties about future forest condition. Advances in remote sensing technology and greater availably of high-resolution data, from both field assessments and satellites, are needed to improve both understanding and prediction of forest responses to future climate change.

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Research Organization:: Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE; European Research Council (ERC); USGS

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-76RL01830; 758873

OSTI ID:: 1876701

Report Number(s):: PNNL-SA-169943

Journal Information:: Annual Review of Plant Biology, Vol. 73, Issue 1; ISSN 1543-5008

Publisher:: Annual ReviewsCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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