Skip to main content
U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

A Machine Learning-Based Vulnerability Analysis for Cascading Failures of Integrated Power-Gas Systems

Journal Article · · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
This article proposes a cascading failure simulation (CFS) method and a hybrid machine learning method for vulnerability analysis of integrated power-gas systems (IPGSs). The CFS method is designed to study the propagating process of cascading failures between the two systems, generating data for machine learning with initial states randomly sampled. The proposed method considers generator and gas well ramping, transmission line and gas pipeline tripping, island issue handling and load shedding strategies. Then, a hybrid machine learning model with a combined random forest (RF) classification and regression algorithms is proposed to investigate the impact of random initial states on the vulnerability metrics of IPGSs. Extensive case studies are carried out on three test IPGSs to verify the proposed models and algorithms. Simulation results show that the proposed models and algorithms can achieve high accuracy for the vulnerability analysis of IPGSs.
Research Organization:
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC52-07NA27344
OSTI ID:
1860713
Report Number(s):
LLNL-JRNL-827498; 1042682
Journal Information:
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Journal Name: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Journal Issue: 3 Vol. 37; ISSN 0885-8950
Publisher:
IEEECopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (38)

SAInt – A novel quasi-dynamic model for assessing security of supply in coupled gas and electricity transmission networks journal October 2017
Day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting approach based on deep convolutional neural networks and meta learning journal June 2020
Evaluation of bi-directional cascading failure propagation in integrated electricity-natural gas system journal October 2020
A review of technologies and applications on versatile energy storage systems journal September 2021
Cascading failure model in power grids using the complex network theory journal November 2016
Robustness assessment of the expansion of coupled electric power and natural gas networks under cascading failures journal November 2018
Comparisons of purely topological model, betweenness based model and direct current power flow model to analyze power grid vulnerability journal June 2013
Cascading Failures in Coupled Gas and Electricity Transmission Systems conference August 2018
A probabilistic loading-dependent model of cascading failure and possible implications for blackouts conference January 2003
DC (Optimal) Power Flow-Based Models for Simulation and Mitigation of Overload Cascading Failures conference October 2019
Initial review of methods for cascading failure analysis in electric power transmission systems IEEE PES CAMS task force on understanding, prediction, mitigation and restoration of cascading failures
  • Baldick, Ross; Chowdhury, Badrul; Dobson, Ian
  • 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century https://doi.org/10.1109/PES.2008.4596430
conference July 2008
Survey of tools for risk assessment of cascading outages conference July 2011
Evaluating the impact of modeling assumptions for cascading failure simulation
  • Fitzmaurice, R.; Cotilla-Sanchez, E.; Hines, P.
  • 2012 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting. New Energy Horizons - Opportunities and Challenges, 2012 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting https://doi.org/10.1109/PESGM.2012.6345378
conference July 2012
Energy Flow Optimization for Integrated Power–Gas Generation and Transmission Systems journal March 2020
Random Forest Based Optimal Feature Selection for Partial Discharge Pattern Recognition in HV Cables journal August 2019
A Probabilistic Indicator of System Stress journal August 2004
A Multiperiod Generalized Network Flow Model of the U.S. Integrated Energy System: Part I—Model Description journal May 2007
A Study of Self-Organized Criticality of Power System Under Cascading Failures Based on AC-OPF With Voltage Stability Margin journal August 2008
Interdependency of Natural Gas Network and Power System Security journal November 2008
An Improved OPA Model and Blackout Risk Assessment journal April 2009
Self-Organized Criticality in Time Series of Power Systems Fault, Its Mechanism, and Potential Application journal November 2010
Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages: Methodologies and Challenges journal December 2011
Security-Constrained Optimal Power and Natural-Gas Flow journal July 2014
Cascading Failure Analysis With DC Power Flow Model and Transient Stability Analysis journal January 2015
Integrated Power and Natural Gas Model for Energy Adequacy in Short-Term Operation journal November 2015
Dynamic Modeling of Cascading Failure in Power Systems journal May 2016
Multi-Linear Probabilistic Energy Flow Analysis of Integrated Electrical and Natural-Gas Systems journal May 2017
A New Model for Resilient Distribution Systems by Microgrids Formation journal September 2017
Integrated Planning of Electricity and Natural Gas Transportation Systems for Enhancing the Power Grid Resilience journal November 2017
Multi-Stage Stochastic Programming With Nonanticipativity Constraints for Expansion of Combined Power and Natural Gas Systems journal January 2018
Enhanced-Online-Random-Forest Model for Static Voltage Stability Assessment Using Wide Area Measurements journal November 2018
Reliability Evaluation for Integrated Power-Gas Systems With Power-to-Gas and Gas Storages journal January 2020
Nodal Reliability Evaluation of Interdependent Gas and Power Systems Considering Cascading Effects journal September 2020
Multiperiod Distribution System Restoration With Routing Repair Crews, Mobile Electric Vehicles, and Soft-Open-Point Networked Microgrids journal November 2020
Integrated Modeling and Assessment of the Operational Impact of Power-to-Gas (P2G) on Electrical and Gas Transmission Networks journal October 2015
The Gas Transmission Problem Solved by an Extension of the Simplex Algorithm journal November 2000
GasLib—A Library of Gas Network Instances journal December 2017
Cascading Failure Propagation Simulation in Integrated Electricity and Natural Gas Systems journal January 2020